Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | ME +210 UML -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +12 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -8.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -8.0 (-4.0) | 131.0 (-19.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -8.7 (-3.3) | 131.5 (-19.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -8.9 (-3.1) | 131.0 (-19.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -8.9 (-3.1) | 132.5 (-20.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UML 67 – 56 ME |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UML 91 – 77 ME |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ME 72 – 64 UML |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ME 71 – 70 UML |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ME 86 – 85 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#355) | -5.2 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.99 (#355) | -1.28 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.78 (#355) | -1.84 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#357) | 0.433 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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