Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | GW -120 LAS +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | GW -2.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.0 (+2.0) | 138.5 (+37.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -1.5 (+0.5) | 137.0 (+39.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -1.0 (+1.0) | 137.1 (+38.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -1.2 (+0.8) | 138.8 (+37.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#261) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#240) | -1.28 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#252) | -1.70 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#230) | 0.439 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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