Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | DEL -170 DREX +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -4.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -2.3 (-10.3) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.5 (-11.5) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.5 (-11.5) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.6 (-11.6) | 140.9 (+3.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#133) | 0.5 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#91) | -0.01 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#106) | -0.08 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#81) | 0.488 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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