Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +210 NAVY -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -6.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -6.9 (+7.9) | 131.7 (-6.7) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -6.2 (+7.2) | 134.8 (-9.8) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -5.2 (+6.2) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -5.3 (+6.3) | 133.4 (-8.4) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 60.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#306) | 1.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#313) | 0.09 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#324) | 0.18 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#315) | 0.496 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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