Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -180 NOLA +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -4.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.5 (-12.5) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.4 (-12.4) | 147.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -3.1 (-12.1) | 149.0 (+0.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -3.7 (-12.7) | 149.0 (+0.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#235) | -4.9 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#215) | -0.62 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#228) | -0.75 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#269) | 0.466 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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