We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Tudor Fieldhouse · February 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -9.5 Home covered
O/U 148.0 Over
Money RICE -650 / UTSA +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual RICE +13 169 Won
Massey RICE -14.7 (-1.7) — —
Massey Totals — 146.6 (+22.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -10.0 (+3.0) 148.7 (+20.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -11.9 (+1.1) 144.8 (+24.2) 87% ✓
Baseline ML RICE -11.6 (+1.4) 144.0 (+25.0) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RICE -11.3 (+1.7) 146.2 (+22.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 RICE 80 – 71 UTSA
Jan 15, 2026 RICE 89 – 73 UTSA
Mar 2, 2025 UTSA 84 – 56 RICE
Jan 15, 2025 UTSA 90 – 84 RICE
Feb 3, 2024 RICE 80 – 76 UTSA

Game Analysis

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