Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -150 WMU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +10 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -4.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -3.2 (+6.8) | 142.4 (-22.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -3.2 (+6.8) | 145.3 (-25.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -3.7 (+6.3) | 145.6 (-25.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -3.0 (+7.0) | 144.2 (-24.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 2-9 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#339) | -13.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#289) | -2.47 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#309) | -3.02 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#265) | 0.408 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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