Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +125 ORE -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +15 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -0.4 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.4 (-15.4) | 139.3 (-22.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -0.3 (-14.7) | 141.5 (-24.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.0 (-15.0) | 141.9 (-24.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -0.2 (-14.8) | 141.3 (-24.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#94) | 9.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#77) | 1.60 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#80) | 2.20 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#99) | 0.581 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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