Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -800 CP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +11 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -13.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -10.9 (+0.1) | 131.1 (-20.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -10.1 (+0.9) | 135.5 (-24.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -10.4 (+0.6) | 134.6 (-23.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -10.1 (+0.9) | 132.5 (-21.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | CP 98 – 83 CSUF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#134) | -9.0 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | -1.75 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#141) | -1.88 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#143) | 0.406 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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