Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | UNCO -420 PRST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +7 | 205 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -9.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+55.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -6.6 (-13.6) | 154.2 (+50.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -7.6 (-14.6) | 151.9 (+53.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -7.0 (-14.0) | 153.3 (+51.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -7.9 (-14.9) | 155.1 (+49.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#206) | -8.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#178) | -2.11 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#189) | -2.22 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.391 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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