Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -300 UCLA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -7.1 (+2.9) | 149.7 (-7.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.2 (+2.8) | 150.8 (-8.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -7.9 (+2.1) | 149.7 (-7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.4 (+3.6) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 17-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#2) | 17.4 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#5) | 3.51 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.46 (#6) | 4.56 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#9) | 0.633 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 43.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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