Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +700 SMC -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +21 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -12.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -12.5 (-8.5) | 135.5 (-6.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -11.5 (-9.5) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -10.7 (-10.3) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -10.8 (-10.2) | 135.3 (-6.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 61.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#238) | 12.0 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#206) | 2.57 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#212) | 2.93 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#235) | 0.638 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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