Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | UNA +100 JAX -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +6 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -0.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.6 (-5.4) | 125.2 (-19.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -0.1 (-6.1) | 126.7 (-20.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -0.4 (-6.4) | 128.5 (-22.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -0.6 (-6.6) | 127.6 (-21.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | JAX 90 – 68 UNA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNA 78 – 63 JAX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNA 92 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 17, 2025 | JAX 64 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | JAX 67 – 63 UNA |
Game Analysis
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