Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -145 NAU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SAC -3.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -2.1 (-3.1) | 133.0 (-10.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -2.1 (-3.1) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -2.5 (-3.5) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -3.0 (-4.0) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NAU 79 – 74 SAC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SAC 83 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAU 65 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NAU 77 – 53 SAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NAU 73 – 58 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#325) | -11.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#314) | -1.96 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#300) | -2.42 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#323) | 0.425 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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