Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | UCSB -120 UCI +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +1 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -0.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -1.6 (-2.6) | 127.7 (-22.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -0.0 (-1.0) | 130.7 (-25.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.1 (-0.9) | 131.3 (-26.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -0.6 (-1.6) | 128.8 (-23.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 61.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#267) | 0.31 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#254) | 0.44 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#304) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.