Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -4.9 (+5.1) | 138.4 (-6.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.8 (+5.2) | 140.5 (-8.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.9 (+5.1) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.2 (+5.8) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#88) | 4.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#94) | 1.41 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#100) | 1.56 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#88) | 0.568 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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