Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -7.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -5.1 (-2.1) | 139.2 (+1.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -6.7 (-3.7) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -6.7 (-3.7) | 140.4 (+0.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -6.6 (-3.6) | 141.0 (+0.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#143) | -3.5 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#146) | -1.39 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#135) | -1.32 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#109) | 0.439 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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