And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Southern Conference · Cameron Hall · February 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread VMI -11.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total VMI win
Actual VMI +7 145 Won
Massey VMI -12.1 (-5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 159.3 (-14.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ VMI -9.7 (-2.7) 156.9 (-11.9) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML VMI -9.8 (-2.8) 155.9 (-10.9) 85% ✓
Baseline ML VMI -10.4 (-3.4) 157.1 (-12.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML VMI -10.3 (-3.3) 157.8 (-12.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 WCU 81 – 62 VMI
Jan 24, 2026 WCU 88 – 58 VMI
Feb 1, 2025 VMI 80 – 76 WCU
Jan 15, 2025 VMI 66 – 50 WCU
Feb 24, 2024 WCU 84 – 51 VMI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VMI WCU
Overall 16-16 11-21
Conference 9-9 5-13
Home 9-4 8-5
Away 6-9 2-14
Neutral 1-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 69.6
Avg Pts Against 77.4 78.2
Massey 1.1 (#140) -7.7 (#296)
Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#153) -0.64 (#229)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.48 (#134) -0.85 (#234)
RPI 0.527 (#126) 0.461 (#240)
Shooting & Four Factors VMI WCU
FG% 45.6% 40.0%
3PT% 37.5% 32.0%
REB / G 35.5 37.9
OREB / G 7.9 11.6
AST / TO 1.28 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.7% 48.2%
TOV% 17.6% 17.9%
ORB% 23.9% 29.2%
FT Rate 20.3% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 14.1%
DRB% 69.2% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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