Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +160 UCSD -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -2.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.8 (-2.2) | 134.5 (+25.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -3.0 (-3.0) | 134.8 (+25.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.7 (-3.3) | 135.6 (+24.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -2.2 (-3.8) | 133.9 (+26.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 0-0 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#321) | -4.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#297) | -1.01 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#297) | -0.94 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#291) | 0.442 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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