Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · February 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -7.0 Away covered
O/U 144.0 Over
Money WEB -320 / MONT +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual WEB +5 155 Won
Massey WEB -7.5 (-2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 141.0 (+14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -7.3 (-2.3) 143.0 (+12.0) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -6.2 (-1.2) 143.0 (+12.0) 77% ✓
Baseline ML WEB -6.0 (-1.0) 143.9 (+11.1) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -5.4 (-0.4) 143.7 (+11.3) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 WEB 92 – 72 MONT
Jan 23, 2026 MONT 81 – 65 WEB
Feb 16, 2025 MONT 65 – 58 WEB
Jan 17, 2025 MONT 63 – 59 WEB
Jan 23, 2024 MONT 77 – 62 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB MONT
Overall 21-12 18-14
Conference 13-7 11-9
Home 9-6 14-3
Away 8-5 4-10
Neutral 4-1 0-1
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 75.2 69.4
Avg Pts Against 71.7 69.7
Massey 2.2 (#127) -2.1 (#211)
Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#97) 0.35 (#140)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.21 (#106) 0.46 (#136)
RPI 0.533 (#118) 0.507 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB MONT
FG% 47.2% 43.0%
3PT% 35.1% 32.9%
REB / G 31.9 29.1
OREB / G 6.4 5.8
AST / TO 0.97 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.3% 49.1%
TOV% 15.9% 15.0%
ORB% 19.9% 17.5%
FT Rate 29.4% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 20.8%
DRB% 73.7% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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