Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | GCU -280 SEA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -4.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.9 (+6.1) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -3.3 (+8.7) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -4.0 (+8.0) | 140.7 (+3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -4.0 (+8.0) | 139.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#106) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#108) | 1.09 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#121) | 1.23 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#152) | 0.534 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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