Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | HOF -150 TOW +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -1.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -1.9 (-11.9) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.6 (-12.6) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.4 (-12.4) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.7 (-11.7) | 140.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#113) | 5.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#91) | 1.12 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#99) | 1.42 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#45) | 0.539 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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