Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +270 COFC -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +23 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -7.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.7 (-15.3) | 153.4 (-8.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.3 (-15.7) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.9 (-16.1) | 152.5 (-7.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -7.5 (-15.5) | 152.9 (-7.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | COFC 88 – 79 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2025 | W&M 90 – 75 COFC |
| Feb 20, 2024 | COFC 65 – 57 W&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COFC 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 16, 2023 | COFC 82 – 54 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#329) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#325) | 0.20 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#336) | 0.10 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#332) | 0.503 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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