Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -2000 W&M +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -16.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -13.7 (-5.7) | 148.5 (-26.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -16.0 (-8.0) | 149.1 (-27.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -12.6 (-4.6) | 147.5 (-25.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -13.4 (-5.4) | 147.5 (-25.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | COFC 88 – 79 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2025 | W&M 90 – 75 COFC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COFC 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 16, 2023 | COFC 82 – 54 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2022 | COFC 84 – 61 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-2 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#126) | -9.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#106) | -2.10 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#111) | -2.41 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#94) | 0.388 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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