Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -166 W&M +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -3.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.2 (+9.2) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -1.0 (+10.0) | 148.9 (+18.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.6 (+10.6) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.5 (+10.5) | 149.5 (+17.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2025 | W&M 90 – 75 COFC |
| Feb 20, 2024 | COFC 65 – 57 W&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COFC 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 16, 2023 | COFC 82 – 54 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2022 | COFC 84 – 61 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | 6.2 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#156) | 1.43 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#156) | 1.81 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#179) | 0.579 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.