Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +100 COFC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +15 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -1.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -2.4 (+17.4) | 159.7 (+5.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -1.0 (+16.0) | 159.4 (+5.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -1.3 (+16.3) | 159.0 (+6.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -1.9 (+16.9) | 158.5 (+6.5) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | COFC 88 – 79 W&M |
| Feb 20, 2024 | COFC 65 – 57 W&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COFC 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 16, 2023 | COFC 82 – 54 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2022 | COFC 84 – 61 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#220) | 1.7 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#190) | 1.13 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#180) | 1.13 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#177) | 0.563 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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