Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +800 WAG -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +2 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -16.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -14.4 (+12.4) | 136.5 (-30.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -14.3 (+12.3) | 138.1 (-32.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -13.0 (+11.0) | 139.5 (-33.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -12.8 (+10.8) | 139.0 (-33.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#346) | 5.6 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#342) | 2.04 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#341) | 2.23 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#342) | 0.555 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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