Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +400 NICH -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -10.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.3 (+7.3) | 145.3 (-22.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.1 (+7.1) | 145.4 (-22.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.1 (+7.1) | 146.8 (-23.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.7 (+7.7) | 146.9 (-23.9) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#351) | -1.2 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#353) | -0.65 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#349) | -0.93 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#331) | 0.492 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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