Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -120 SELA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -2.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -0.8 (-5.8) | 152.5 (+8.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -0.5 (-5.5) | 151.1 (+9.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -0.3 (-5.3) | 152.7 (+8.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.2 (-4.8) | 152.8 (+8.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#301) | -6.8 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#310) | -0.98 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#308) | -1.39 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#268) | 0.459 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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