Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA +110 BRY -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.2 (-2.8) | 153.9 (+17.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.0 (-3.0) | 149.6 (+21.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.2 (-2.8) | 152.9 (+18.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -3.9 (-3.1) | 151.3 (+19.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2022 | BRY 82 – 52 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BRY 72 – 63 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2021 | SFPA 89 – 82 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 4-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#317) | -3.6 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#326) | -0.56 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#326) | -0.59 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#321) | 0.489 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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