Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +30 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -5.9 (+24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -7.5 (+22.5) | 151.7 (-17.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.9 (+25.1) | 150.1 (-16.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -5.4 (+24.6) | 151.4 (-17.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.1 (+24.9) | 151.9 (-17.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | BRY 89 – 82 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BRY 72 – 63 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2021 | SFPA 89 – 82 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#271) | -8.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#248) | -2.34 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#240) | -2.78 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#221) | 0.388 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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