Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA +275 BRY -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -9.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.8 (+13.8) | 152.2 (+18.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -8.3 (+15.3) | 155.1 (+15.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -7.4 (+14.4) | 156.4 (+14.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -7.5 (+14.5) | 153.6 (+17.4) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | BRY 89 – 82 SFPA |
| Jan 18, 2022 | BRY 82 – 52 SFPA |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BRY 72 – 63 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#245) | 7.3 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#212) | 1.51 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#207) | 2.56 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#205) | 0.606 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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