Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–17 on winners spread MAE 8.3 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Kentucky +18.1 153.1 86% 82–118 ✓
Alabama @ Ohio State -12.0 151.4 18% 81–92 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Kentucky +4.3 142.6 55% 65–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ East Tennessee State +3.8 142.4 66% 71–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Providence +11.2 142.0 84% 64–78 ✓
George Washington @ Ohio -3.5 144.3 34% 99–94 ✓
Youngstown State @ Dayton +13.2 137.7 86% 69–77 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fairfield -1.8 144.8 39% 83–80 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Hawai'i +9.3 148.0 79% 57–76 ✓
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma State +16.5 149.7 87% 65–92 ✓
North Florida @ LSU +17.0 148.6 87% 63–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Clemson +18.1 149.9 88% 69–90 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arizona State +2.0 135.9 62% 67–82 ✓
VCU @ Boise State -2.0 135.2 41% 61–65 ✗
Western Illinois @ Illinois +23.0 137.6 90% 52–84 ✓
Stanford @ Northern Iowa -1.4 153.1 49% 51–73 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Cal State Northridge +15.2 139.9 88% 48–84 ✓
Le Moyne @ Pacific +3.6 142.1 67% 71–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon +1.7 139.4 53% 88–82 ✗
NC State @ BYU +10.0 142.6 79% 86–95 ✓
San Diego @ Arkansas State -3.5 148.4 32% 71–57 ✓
Brown @ Kansas City -1.0 142.8 38% 93–83 ✓
Tennessee State @ SE Louisiana -4.8 140.8 33% 91–77 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Missouri +9.8 134.8 80% 70–78 ✓
Jackson State @ Georgetown +12.3 148.9 86% 81–88 ✓
NJIT @ Wagner +11.1 134.2 84% 51–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty +29.2 149.5 91% 62–99 ✓
Merrimack @ Alabama State -7.1 145.6 24% 60–66 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ North Dakota +3.8 150.3 64% 69–71 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +3.5 137.7 65% 56–75 ✓
Mercer @ Western Michigan -3.6 134.7 41% 66–72 ✗
Ohio @ Middle Tennessee -2.7 131.3 36% 80–68 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Canisius -1.1 141.9 47% 77–85 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +15.2 139.4 87% 74–93 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton +22.7 137.5 90% 66–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ SIU Edwardsville +11.8 132.3 85% 67–81 ✓
East Carolina @ George Mason +13.1 139.9 85% 59–81 ✓
UMBC @ William & Mary +5.7 160.7 74% 81–96 ✓
Monmouth @ Lafayette -4.5 138.7 35% 63–53 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri State +24.1 143.9 91% 74–92 ✓
Miami (OH) @ St. Bonaventure +4.1 136.2 57% 60–90 ✓
Army @ Binghamton +15.6 130.6 84% 68–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Milwaukee +5.5 143.0 48% 90–84 ✗
UT Martin @ Chicago State +1.0 150.5 47% 94–71 ✗
Tulsa @ Little Rock +1.9 149.8 52% 82–84 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington +6.1 136.1 70% 73–66 ✗
St. Thomas @ Green Bay +1.3 127.2 60% 51–64 ✓
Lamar @ Longwood +5.8 151.2 75% 72–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Samford +16.3 154.1 89% 83–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Arkansas +0.4 140.5 44% 74–71 ✗
Alabama @ Oregon -8.7 158.7 22% 99–91 ✓
Southern @ Valparaiso +1.5 147.2 57% 59–71 ✓
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +3.0 144.4 62% 87–83 ✗
Incarnate Word @ UTSA +1.7 154.0 54% 80–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.5 151.5 42% 91–90 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Francis +3.6 137.5 40% 69–61 ✗
Bucknell @ Marist +12.2 132.1 85% 49–73 ✓
Long Island University @ Northern Kentucky +8.9 145.3 76% 64–72 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Greensboro -3.5 138.4 37% 77–88 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.9 145.2 61% 71–55 ✗
Belmont @ Pennsylvania +9.3 154.1 81% 84–79 ✗
Wofford @ UNC Asheville -6.5 154.5 29% 82–85 ✗
Delaware State @ Bethune-Cookman -1.1 143.7 44% 72–64 ✓
Georgia State @ Charlotte +8.5 133.0 79% 57–65 ✓
Furman @ UAB +5.7 149.2 75% 86–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.