Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–13 on winners spread MAE 9.0 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Washington @ UIC +2.7 139.1 61% 79–89 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Cleveland State +13.2 146.1 86% 59–86 ✓
UTEP @ Loyola Marymount +2.6 142.3 62% 47–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ St. John's +13.0 149.7 86% 45–91 ✓
Queens University @ Richmond +18.1 143.0 87% 61–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Santa Clara -2.4 141.6 41% 86–56 ✓
Texas Southern @ Drake +16.3 136.9 88% 71–77 ✓
California @ San Diego State +13.2 151.8 84% 67–76 ✓
South Alabama @ Maryland +10.6 133.2 84% 55–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Wichita State +19.3 140.5 88% 67–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Lipscomb +7.9 146.4 72% 82–61 ✗
Arkansas State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.0 149.7 35% 75–58 ✓
Dartmouth @ Saint Louis +17.3 144.6 90% 65–66 ✓
Vermont @ Bradley +9.0 136.6 78% 70–79 ✓
North Dakota State @ Grand Canyon +16.2 148.2 87% 71–86 ✓
Northern Illinois @ DePaul -3.1 148.2 35% 89–79 ✓
San Diego @ Hawai'i +0.6 135.9 54% 66–77 ✓
Penn State @ VCU -1.9 133.3 40% 74–86 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Kansas City -4.0 131.4 41% 63–59 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Western Kentucky +6.8 150.0 75% 77–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Belmont +3.2 142.7 64% 69–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Louisville +6.6 146.0 78% 84–90 ✓
Coppin State @ La Salle +16.8 132.2 90% 62–81 ✓
Austin Peay @ App State +13.9 136.1 86% 58–78 ✓
Lamar @ Delaware State -4.8 146.7 30% 84–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Eastern Michigan -1.3 144.2 45% 72–70 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Joseph's +7.7 146.8 77% 55–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Virginia Tech -0.1 149.4 50% 84–50 ✓
Ohio @ Brown -4.8 152.8 32% 82–77 ✓
Air Force @ South Dakota +2.1 140.4 54% 58–57 ✗
Iona @ Colorado +16.0 150.0 86% 68–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Wofford -8.3 156.8 21% 85–78 ✓
Denver @ East Texas A&M +2.3 147.2 60% 71–61 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +13.3 144.4 88% 56–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coastal Carolina +2.8 146.6 52% 70–58 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Robert Morris +5.5 148.2 72% 86–97 ✓
Drexel @ Old Dominion +2.4 132.3 57% 61–68 ✓
Stonehill @ Quinnipiac +13.6 152.5 89% 69–80 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Nebraska +22.3 138.9 90% 72–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Pennsylvania +2.4 147.2 60% 61–76 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas +11.3 143.0 82% 63–86 ✓
UL Monroe @ SMU +13.3 133.9 87% 57–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Longwood +15.5 145.2 86% 48–69 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas +0.7 144.4 42% 79–74 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word -2.5 138.3 37% 67–65 ✓
Canisius @ Bowling Green -5.3 141.7 38% 73–77 ✗
Morgan State @ Towson +12.3 139.6 85% 58–67 ✓
Yale @ Rhode Island +1.5 147.2 57% 72–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Western Carolina +11.6 145.7 81% 63–81 ✓
Butler @ Boise State -5.7 144.2 25% 70–56 ✓
Long Beach State @ Montana State +3.8 137.2 66% 75–69 ✗
Stetson @ UCF +12.6 140.5 81% 85–82 ✗
George Washington @ Delaware -0.7 143.8 45% 81–71 ✓
Harvard @ Indiana -6.5 142.1 27% 76–89 ✗
UAlbany @ Siena -4.4 140.2 30% 86–51 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +7.2 132.4 76% 58–62 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Pacific +13.1 133.6 88% 65–68 ✓
Charleston @ Kent State +14.0 148.7 85% 84–78 ✗
UC San Diego @ Seattle U +9.2 140.0 80% 67–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida International +3.5 151.5 66% 84–91 ✓
Texas A&M @ Iowa State +3.3 144.1 62% 73–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.