Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–22 on winners spread MAE 10.1 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ Arkansas +2.4 151.0 61% 84–69 ✗
UConn @ Marquette -0.5 153.3 55% 76–82 ✗
Creighton @ Xavier +4.2 156.0 75% 87–90 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +12.5 142.7 86% 72–88 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +2.3 145.2 53% 71–69 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Duke +6.4 143.2 76% 69–77 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia +3.8 153.4 71% 83–78 ✗
Memphis @ UCF +6.2 139.3 74% 104–107 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +8.7 150.2 81% 71–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.9 138.8 65% 58–76 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +8.4 135.2 76% 67–57 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +5.4 136.5 73% 69–61 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Syracuse -1.0 141.8 48% 72–82 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine +2.5 136.4 54% 71–58 ✗
Binghamton @ NJIT +4.2 141.9 63% 72–71 ✗
UAlbany @ Bryant +8.8 152.2 80% 69–86 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +4.6 136.9 65% 59–50 ✗
Indiana @ Penn State +1.0 148.0 58% 66–85 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island +0.4 137.0 51% 67–68 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +0.5 138.3 57% 61–57 ✗
La Salle @ Massachusetts +10.0 146.4 82% 78–77 ✗
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's -3.3 144.0 38% 92–80 ✓
Radford @ Winthrop -2.0 141.4 40% 66–52 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian -6.0 131.7 24% 79–78 ✓
High Point @ Charleston Southern +1.0 153.8 56% 69–106 ✓
Campbell @ South Carolina Upstate +1.7 135.9 58% 78–63 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -6.9 137.9 25% 72–57 ✓
Furman @ Mercer -3.0 145.3 34% 84–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +6.4 145.3 75% 76–95 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel +1.2 138.6 48% 96–74 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Elon -4.0 145.0 27% 80–71 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +9.2 139.7 80% 65–81 ✓
Towson @ Delaware +0.3 136.0 50% 59–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Hofstra +21.5 142.4 91% 57–77 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UT Rio Grande Valley -0.4 150.0 44% 86–103 ✗
South Florida @ Houston +23.7 136.4 91% 77–83 ✓
Tulane @ SMU -2.1 152.5 38% 97–88 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +9.8 128.6 81% 65–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -3.9 132.0 30% 66–76 ✗
Evansville @ Bradley +19.7 133.2 90% 46–91 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -11.1 143.4 17% 77–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Rice +1.8 151.1 56% 71–68 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Louis +5.6 148.0 70% 62–63 ✓
Wofford @ Samford +4.0 141.8 69% 58–83 ✓
Chicago State @ Tarleton State +9.3 137.5 80% 63–73 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +0.4 155.2 57% 64–82 ✓
TCU @ Texas +6.8 151.1 78% 75–79 ✓
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +9.2 139.4 81% 55–83 ✓
Louisville @ Clemson +18.4 145.2 90% 70–83 ✓
Florida State @ Wake Forest +9.6 152.7 81% 75–90 ✓
UTSA @ UTEP +8.8 137.0 82% 57–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UAB +11.7 152.6 80% 80–78 ✗
Rutgers @ Northwestern +1.0 127.5 45% 65–62 ✗
Utah Valley @ California Baptist -2.6 135.6 33% 71–67 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge -5.6 140.1 27% 62–54 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +9.4 141.7 80% 65–70 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -2.9 133.6 36% 74–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.4 124.7 24% 60–48 ✓
California @ Washington State +11.1 133.2 84% 51–66 ✓
Boise State @ UNLV +1.9 136.8 61% 84–66 ✗
Minnesota @ Ohio State +18.9 142.9 90% 70–67 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +2.5 132.5 64% 67–65 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine -1.2 141.1 41% 80–51 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.