Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -188 HC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -5.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.6 (+13.4) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.9 (+13.1) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.2 (+13.8) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.9 (+13.1) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#317) | -10.2 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#244) | -1.89 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#254) | -2.26 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#224) | 0.405 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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