Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | ME -150 UNH +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -6.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -1.5 (-14.5) | 135.8 (-6.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -1.8 (-14.8) | 134.5 (-5.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -3.1 (-16.1) | 135.9 (-6.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -2.5 (-15.5) | 136.4 (-7.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | -6.8 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#303) | -1.31 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#291) | -1.77 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#285) | 0.431 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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