Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -600 BU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -10.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.0 (-5.0) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -8.3 (-2.3) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.7 (-2.7) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.7 (-2.7) | 150.2 (-2.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | -3.1 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#176) | -0.61 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#151) | -0.98 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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