Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–18 on winners spread MAE 9.1 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Iowa +5.5 154.7 69% 84–93 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville -2.1 144.2 44% 46–54 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State -3.9 130.3 29% 65–53 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +9.0 141.3 80% 67–66 ✗
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -3.4 161.2 31% 84–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +1.3 142.1 58% 65–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ IU Indianapolis -12.4 140.6 14% 70–55 ✓
Drexel @ Stony Brook -5.7 125.2 24% 66–67 ✗
North Alabama @ Liberty +17.3 142.1 89% 54–72 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +11.3 159.3 87% 92–91 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +1.8 132.1 56% 68–81 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville State +0.0 144.1 51% 63–72 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky -3.4 145.4 40% 76–97 ✗
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -5.6 145.6 28% 86–73 ✓
Texas State @ Arkansas State -2.7 125.5 36% 61–58 ✓
James Madison @ South Alabama -4.2 143.0 34% 62–63 ✗
St. Thomas @ Kansas City +0.5 141.3 49% 60–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +14.9 152.1 88% 63–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Omaha +4.7 142.2 69% 63–69 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -7.1 146.5 27% 99–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +4.4 136.0 67% 75–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +6.6 143.1 75% 71–94 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian -6.7 151.3 27% 59–68 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.6 150.3 73% 85–82 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech +2.4 138.3 63% 62–79 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -7.5 138.2 21% 80–62 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar -8.0 143.2 25% 66–69 ✗
Colorado @ USC +2.1 142.8 58% 61–68 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon +2.3 137.4 57% 90–73 ✗
McNeese @ Northwestern State +8.1 141.0 78% 75–89 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +3.4 148.5 54% 85–79 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +11.2 134.4 87% 48–80 ✓
Sam Houston @ Southern Utah -2.0 148.6 41% 74–86 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Tech +2.6 147.0 56% 85–72 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +12.8 132.4 84% 62–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ Marshall +4.0 144.0 69% 67–89 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver +2.2 144.5 61% 90–70 ✗
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +2.5 156.2 63% 77–66 ✗
Little Rock @ Southern Indiana +9.1 157.6 79% 67–74 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +4.5 138.1 65% 59–57 ✗
Idaho State @ Montana State +8.4 137.4 78% 68–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay +0.7 140.3 52% 87–65 ✗
Gonzaga @ BYU -1.1 151.0 36% 75–74 ✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U +4.8 145.6 72% 66–69 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego +1.2 157.0 56% 89–92 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +6.7 138.8 75% 58–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State +6.8 149.0 76% 64–72 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +6.4 153.9 74% 74–75 ✓
Utah @ UCLA +10.8 135.6 86% 49–68 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon State -12.6 143.4 15% 86–74 ✓
Stanford @ Washington +3.3 139.7 64% 69–86 ✓
San Francisco @ Portland -0.7 148.5 40% 87–92 ✗
Yale @ Cornell +1.9 145.0 56% 82–94 ✓
Kent State @ Ohio -3.2 140.1 33% 70–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.