Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -125 MTSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -1.1 (-4.1) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -0.2 (-3.2) | 146.2 (-7.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -2.0 (-5.0) | 150.4 (-11.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -1.8 (-4.8) | 151.1 (-12.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | MTSU 81 – 46 RICE |
| Jan 7, 2022 | RICE 65 – 61 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#181) | 2.2 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#106) | 0.35 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#129) | 0.40 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#135) | 0.532 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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