Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | RICE -210 MTSU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -0.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -1.2 (+2.8) | 152.9 (-26.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.2 (+2.8) | 151.0 (-25.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -2.0 (+2.0) | 153.3 (-27.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -1.2 (+2.8) | 152.7 (-26.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | MTSU 71 – 68 RICE |
| Nov 16, 2022 | MTSU 81 – 46 RICE |
Game Analysis
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