Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +120 TOW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -0.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.6 (+12.4) | 135.2 (-4.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -0.6 (+13.6) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.6 (+12.4) | 136.6 (-5.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -0.3 (+12.7) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#227) | 0.4 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#164) | 0.41 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#185) | 0.45 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#170) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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