Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -125 RICH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.8 (-4.8) | 138.6 (-20.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.6 (-5.6) | 137.5 (-19.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.0 (-5.0) | 137.4 (-19.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.5 (-4.5) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | 3.4 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | 0.12 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#120) | 0.54 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#90) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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