Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +350 UCSB -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +12 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -6.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -7.0 (-5.0) | 125.1 (-17.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -7.3 (-4.7) | 120.3 (-12.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -7.8 (-4.2) | 126.6 (-18.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -7.4 (-4.6) | 124.7 (-16.7) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCSB 75 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSB 109 – 84 CSUB |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UCSB 71 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSB 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#281) | 4.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#308) | 1.51 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#300) | 1.47 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#336) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.