Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +350 UNCG -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +15 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -6.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -7.3 (-7.7) | 137.2 (-8.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -6.5 (-8.5) | 135.9 (-6.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -7.5 (-7.5) | 136.7 (-7.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -6.9 (-8.1) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 84 – 70 VMI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UNCG 92 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 78 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 64 – 57 UNCG |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNCG 80 – 54 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#329) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#341) | 0.01 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#343) | 0.17 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#338) | 0.515 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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