Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | IU -0.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.4 (+17.6) | 147.4 (+3.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.4 (+17.6) | 143.7 (+7.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -0.8 (+18.2) | 146.2 (+4.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -1.0 (+18.0) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | IU 113 – 72 PSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | IU 83 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#70) | 12.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#60) | 1.69 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#54) | 2.25 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#77) | 0.559 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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