Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -450 CSUF +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.2 (-4.2) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.9 (-2.9) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.9 (-3.9) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.4 (-4.4) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#79) | -0.4 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#102) | 0.23 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#92) | 0.13 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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