Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MER +220 FUR -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +18 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -3.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -3.2 (-14.8) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -4.0 (-14.0) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.2 (-14.8) | 143.7 (+6.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -3.0 (-15.0) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MER 69 – 64 FUR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FUR 74 – 72 MER |
| Feb 13, 2025 | FUR 96 – 72 MER |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FUR 79 – 74 MER |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MER 82 – 75 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#245) | 3.0 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#265) | 0.44 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | 0.40 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#281) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.