Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +18 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -2.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -2.2 (-20.2) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -1.4 (-19.4) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -2.5 (-20.5) | 136.8 (+13.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -1.9 (-19.9) | 136.8 (+13.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#59) | 10.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#41) | 1.73 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#32) | 2.48 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#21) | 0.592 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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