Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD +100 UCR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -2.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -3.1 (-2.9) | 133.1 (+8.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -4.4 (-1.6) | 131.8 (+10.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -3.2 (-2.8) | 133.5 (+8.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -2.9 (-3.1) | 133.6 (+8.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCSD 72 – 66 UCR |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UCSD 69 – 66 UCR |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSD 91 – 71 UCR |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCR 85 – 81 UCSD |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCSD 77 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#282) | 0.6 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#243) | 0.31 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#271) | -0.02 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#208) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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